Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 15.215033 17.736028 20.481605 23.685640 27.313425 31.284775 35.952195
2025-05-04 11.206376 14.714025 18.925642 24.313478 30.977027 38.899233 48.976615
2025-05-11 8.596102 12.431123 17.408948 24.248984 33.294650 44.726891 60.127798
2025-05-18 6.740598 10.605536 15.970419 23.800525 34.744878 49.279963 69.778085
2025-05-25 5.392299 9.162661 14.722487 23.281748 35.835127 53.230124 78.728516
2025-06-01 4.370505 7.983274 13.618482 22.727067 36.677231 56.749872 87.188360
2025-06-08 3.452006 6.778539 12.263629 21.560392 36.402854 58.535721 93.183049
2025-06-15 3.102782 6.463655 12.259828 22.462510 39.292802 65.097320 106.495844
2025-06-22 2.734285 6.041724 12.004346 22.894513 41.434813 70.626649 118.562405
2025-06-29 2.302193 5.415258 11.295132 22.453383 42.075540 73.817159 127.179048
2025-07-06 1.886415 4.737016 10.386952 21.536392 41.794948 75.464082 133.402097
2025-07-13 1.784500 4.700041 10.683514 22.825846 45.405353 83.651214 150.544880
2025-07-20 1.672688 4.645986 10.987312 24.255350 49.555756 93.295997 171.145339
2025-07-27 1.482049 4.377835 10.832511 24.814482 52.239912 100.748656 188.771156
2025-08-03 1.267412 4.000649 10.386501 24.734329 53.718606 106.209559 203.370690
2025-08-10 1.061360 3.591580 9.798426 24.275576 54.406664 110.284327 215.786926
2025-08-17 0.885468 3.215655 9.218232 23.747414 54.884208 113.974202 227.701278
2025-08-24 0.736876 2.874915 8.659179 23.183075 55.213560 117.378040 239.259090
2025-08-31 0.585385 2.475981 7.877160 21.996133 54.117764 117.982805 245.704386
2025-09-07 0.542646 2.421710 7.985344 22.913921 57.564110 127.527337 269.217449
2025-09-14 0.486533 2.304288 7.901675 23.353398 60.000807 135.231395 289.652356
2025-09-21 0.409132 2.082612 7.483787 22.904635 60.419940 138.936467 302.644244
2025-09-28 0.330651 1.825642 6.909576 21.971712 59.641385 140.145961 310.845211